Re: [HOE] probabilities

[J Tolle <jwtolle@altavista.com>]

On Thu, 12 April 2001, Theo McGuckin wrote:

> 
> 
> Okay, I KNOW I'm going something wrong because I got that the probability
> of rolling a 10 on 1d8 (open ended, of course) is slightly higher (@10.9%)
> then the probability of rolling a 10 on 1d10 (@10%).
> What am I doing wrong?:
> 
> probability of rolling an 8 on 1d8 = .125
> probability of rolling a 2+ on 1d8 = .875
> 
> .125 * .875 = .109
> 
> ???

You actually are correct.

And if you keep up with this thread I will lay out all the formulas and mathematical theory for you.  It can get pretty nasty - just ask Nick.  Do you remember sequnces and series from Calc?

BTW: Just 'cause certain people like to figure out probabilities doesn't mean they are "just as bad as munchkins"!

Jeff "I leave tomorrow at 6:00am for VEGAS." Tolle


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